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Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Shandong Gold H shares to over-allocation, with a target price of HK$ 22.20.Morgan Stanley upgraded Hongyuan Green Energy Co., Ltd. to parity.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.

Canada's stock index closed up 0.6% on the day when the central bank cut interest rates, Brazil's real rose over 1% on the day when the central bank raised interest rates, and Canada's S&P /TSX composite index closed up 0.60% at 25,657.70 points, approaching the closing record high of 25,691.80 points on December 6 and the intraday record high of 25,843.20 points on December 9. Small-cap stocks closed up 0.74% at 847.15 points. In late North America on Wednesday (December 11th), the yield of Canada's 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 6.7 basis points to 3.085%. The yield of debt increase in the two-year period rose by 5.3 basis points to 2.941%. After the US CPI inflation data was released at 21:30 Beijing time, the refresh rate was as low as 2.827%. After the Bank of Canada announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut at 22:45, it pulled back steeply from 2.84% to 2.960% at 03:06. The yield of five-year debt increase rose by 6.1 basis points to 2.891%. Mexico Composite Index closed down 0.17%, while Mexican peso rose 0.11% against the US dollar. The index of Sao Paulo Stock Exchange in Brazil closed up 1.06% to 130,000 points, and since it rose to a record high of 137,000 points on August 28th, it has been continuously and smoothly adjusted back. The Brazilian real rose by 1.43% against the US dollar, and it was reported at R $5.9647 before the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates by 100 basis points and predicted that it would raise interest rates in the next two times.Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.The number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures reached a new high in recent five years. In 2024, the spot price of steel continued to hover near the production cost line, which made the development of steel enterprises face a staged dilemma. In order to stabilize daily operations, more and more iron and steel enterprises began to participate in the futures market, the most direct manifestation of which is the significant increase in the number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures. In November this year, the registered volume of hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts in Shanghai Futures Exchange once reached 523,100 tons, a record high of nearly five years. Previously, the registered volume of rebar futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 210,100 tons in the past five years in September this year, and the registered volume of stainless steel futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 197,100 tons since listing in July this year. (SSE)

Soochow securities: The demand resonance of land, sea and wind installations is optimistic about the long-term growth of the plate. soochow securities released a research report saying that in 2025, the growth rate of wind installations will be high, with long-term growth. Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) and Qifan Cable (605222.SH) are recommended, and Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) and Hengtong Optoelectronics (600487. SH) are concerned; Daikin Heavy Industry (002487.SZ), Tianshun Wind Energy (002531.SZ), Haili Wind Energy (301155.SZ) and Taisheng Wind Energy (300129.SZ) are recommended.Bank of Brazil: The agent's views on recent financial announcements have significantly affected asset prices and expectations, especially risk premium, inflation expectations and exchange rate.Front page of China Securities Journal: Give better play to the role of "stabilizer". The reform of the investment side of the capital market has been solidly promoted. The front page of China Securities Journal stated that efforts should be made to break through the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds entering the market, steadily promote the reform of industry rates in Public Offering of Fund, and vigorously develop equity funds, especially indexed investment ... Recently, the reform of the investment side has been accelerated, helping to improve the function of the capital market in which investment and financing are coordinated. Market participants expect that in the next stage, around the key directions such as guiding "long money" to enter the market, enriching the product system, and promoting the development of indexed investment, the reform of the investment side will continue to be solidly promoted, and more new measures are expected to be researched and introduced, which will introduce more incremental funds to the market and better play its role as a "stabilizer" of the market. The market expects that the acceleration of investment-side reform will significantly increase the scale and proportion of medium and long-term capital investment, promote the long-term investment behavior and enhance the inherent stability of the capital market.